Although my earlier analysis suggested it was difficult for the WP to capture the Punggol East ward, I now feel a little uncomfortable. Never before have I seen such a big crowd at an opposition rally like the one WP had last night. It was bigger than the previous WP rally. The estimated size was 8,000. The previous one was 5,000. In comparison,the last PAP rally saw a small crowd of only 550 people. Will the crowd size be an indication of the result of the election which will be made known by 26 January evening? If the answer is a "yes", then PAP is in trouble not only for this by-election but GE 2016.
The polls on the right side of this blog points to a strong WP victory.